Saw my first TourX in the wild today.

[Wlepse]

Saw a black TourX on Sandhill road in Vernon yesterday. I flashed my lights and waved but realized with my tinted windows and yours you may not have seen the wave and I definitely wouldn't have noticed a wave back since your tint was very dark. Looked good, but dark.

 

[LLninja]

Found an identical car to mine at the grocery store a few weeks ago. What are the odds that a town of 6k people would have two TourXes (TourXii?), both red. Mine has the roof rack.

 

[Ruesselsheimer2001]

Found an identical car to mine at the grocery store a few weeks ago. What are the odds that a town of 6k people would have two TourXes (TourXii?), both red. Mine has the roof rack.

This happened to me a while back (and I posted a picture, too) – so I’ve wondered about the odds, too. So here goes:

I’ve seen estimates of between 5,000-8,000 TourX models sold in the US during its lifespan of being imported here. Let’s use the 8,000 number since I think it’s based on the most believable reporting (https://www.autoblog.com/amp/2019/06/05/2019-buick-regal-tourx-sales/ and https://gmauthority.com/blog/gm/buick/regal/buick-regal-sales-numbers/).

So, based on 8,000 vehicles, you saw 2/8,000 = that’s .025% of all TourXs every imported in one spot at one time. This isn't needed for the calculation, but this is the number whenever we see another TourX in the wild.

Your town has a population of 6,000. The US population is about 330 million. So your town represents 6,000/330,000,000 = .002% of the US population.

Based on this, you should expect to see .002% of all TourXs in your town or .15 of a vehicle (8,000 * .002%). This means you’d need to be in a city of 45,000 to expect to see 1 TourX, and a city of 90,000 to expect to see 2 TourXs. (This of course is just based on the simple math and ignores towns/places more likely to favor station wagons.)

Assuming my math was correct (ha!), I fed all this into Bard (like ChatGPT) and it calculated this answer:

The odds of seeing 2 TourXs in your town of 6,000 is approximately 52.48 to 1, or a probability of only 1.87%.

(Please, smart people, chime in here. This was just 10 minutes with Excel and AI)

 

[PrincipalDan]

This happened to me a while back (and I posted a picture, too) – so I’ve wondered about the odds, too. So here goes:

I’ve seen estimates of between 5,000-8,000 TourX models sold in the US during its lifespan of being imported here. Let’s use the 8,000 number since I think it’s based on the most believable reporting (2019 Buick Regal TourX sells better than expected, has brand's wealthiest buyers and https://gmauthority.com/blog/gm/buick/regal/buick-regal-sales-numbers/).

So, based on 8,000 vehicles, you saw 2/8,000 = that’s .025% of all TourXs every imported in one spot at one time. This isn't needed for the calculation, but this is the number whenever we see another TourX in the wild.

Your town has a population of 6,000. The US population is about 330 million. So your town represents 6,000/330,000,000 = .002% of the US population.

Based on this, you should expect to see .002% of all TourXs in your town or .15 of a vehicle (8,000 * .002%). This means you’d need to be in a city of 45,000 to expect to see 1 TourX, and a city of 90,000 to expect to see 2 TourXs. (This of course is just based on the simple math and ignores towns/places more likely to favor station wagons.)

Assuming my math was correct (ha!), I fed all this into Bard (like ChatGPT) and it calculated this answer:

The odds of seeing 2 TourXs in your town of 6,000 is approximately 52.48 to 1, or a probability of only 1.87%.

(Please, smart people, chime in here. This was just 10 minutes with Excel and AI)

My town now has one of the fire engine red models that belongs to a teacher who moved here after production ended. The kicker is it appears to be a LOADED model in the no extra cost paint color which for some reason tickles me.

 

[LLninja]

This happened to me a while back (and I posted a picture, too) – so I’ve wondered about the odds, too. So here goes:

I’ve seen estimates of between 5,000-8,000 TourX models sold in the US during its lifespan of being imported here. Let’s use the 8,000 number since I think it’s based on the most believable reporting (2019 Buick Regal TourX sells better than expected, has brand's wealthiest buyers and https://gmauthority.com/blog/gm/buick/regal/buick-regal-sales-numbers/).

So, based on 8,000 vehicles, you saw 2/8,000 = that’s .025% of all TourXs every imported in one spot at one time. This isn't needed for the calculation, but this is the number whenever we see another TourX in the wild.

Your town has a population of 6,000. The US population is about 330 million. So your town represents 6,000/330,000,000 = .002% of the US population.

Based on this, you should expect to see .002% of all TourXs in your town or .15 of a vehicle (8,000 * .002%). This means you’d need to be in a city of 45,000 to expect to see 1 TourX, and a city of 90,000 to expect to see 2 TourXs. (This of course is just based on the simple math and ignores towns/places more likely to favor station wagons.)

Assuming my math was correct (ha!), I fed all this into Bard (like ChatGPT) and it calculated this answer:

The odds of seeing 2 TourXs in your town of 6,000 is approximately 52.48 to 1, or a probability of only 1.87%.

(Please, smart people, chime in here. This was just 10 minutes with Excel and AI)

I think the AI is wrong. 52 to 1 odds seems way too high. Also you are missing a crucial factor, how many of those TourXes are Sport Red? The vast majority of cars are made in black, white, and silver with other colors manufactured in far fewer numbers. Bright red and dark blue TourXes are extremely rare.

Here are the colors

• Rioja Red Metallic
• Quicksilver Metallic
• Summit White
• Ebony Twilight Metallic
• Dark Moon Blue Metallic
• Sport Red
• White Frost Tricoat
• Smoked Pearl Metallic

For simplicity sake, let’s just say summit white, quicksilver metallic, and ebony twilight metallic were made at 2x the rate of all the others. So a rough 1 out of 11 cars are sport red, or 727 out of your 8k estimate. So out of 700ish red TourXes in the US, what are the odds that two of them are in a town of 6k people? Alas, it only takes two weirdos (one being me) to make this happen.

Now the most common vehicle in my town is definitely a pickup truck followed by an SUV. There certainly aren’t many wagons since few companies make wagons any more.

Finally, I bought this car to act as a temporary surrogate before getting a 2025 Lyriq (i never buy the first year model, waiting for them to work out the gremlins and for others to ensure it isn’t a complete failure.) I fully intended to trade this car in when the time came, but now I am leaning towards keeping it forever because of its uniqueness.

 

[MMKRegalTX]

I think the AI is wrong. 52 to 1 odds seems way too high. Also you are missing a crucial factor, how many of those TourXes are Sport Red? The vast majority of cars are made in black, white, and silver with other colors manufactured in far fewer numbers. Bright red and dark blue TourXes are extremely rare.

Here are the colors

• Rioja Red Metallic
• Quicksilver Metallic
• Summit White
• Ebony Twilight Metallic
• Dark Moon Blue Metallic
• Sport Red
• White Frost Tricoat
• Smoked Pearl Metallic

For simplicity sake, let’s just say summit white, quicksilver metallic, and ebony twilight metallic were made at 2x the rate of all the others. So a rough 1 out of 11 cars are sport red, or 727 out of your 8k estimate. So out of 700ish red TourXes in the US, what are the odds that two of them are in a town of 6k people? Alas, it only takes two weirdos (one being me) to make this happen.

Now the most common vehicle in my town is definitely a pickup truck followed by an SUV. There certainly aren’t many wagons since few companies make wagons any more.

Finally, I bought this car to act as a temporary surrogate before getting a 2025 Lyriq (i never buy the first year model, waiting for them to work out the gremlins and for others to ensure it isn’t a complete failure.) I fully intended to trade this car in when the time came, but now I am leaning towards keeping it forever because of its uniqueness.

interesting to keep it. My husband suggested the same thing with mine so that it would be a classic someday.

as far as ratio's, I think it is far greater than 52 to 1.

2021				6	6	6							18
2020	401	401	401	274	274	274	134	134	134	20	20	20	2,484
2019	1,136	1,136	1,136	995	995	995	819	819	819	505	505	505	10,363
2018	568	2,318	822	1,502	1,502	1,503	931	931	931	1,037	1,037	1,037	14,118

total there are only just shy of 27,000 of them sold in the US. Factor in how many have been totaled...probably more like 20,000 by now. There is an estimated 275.9 million cars on the road today in the united states. That makes it a .00007249 odds or 1 in 1379.5. Obviously, density of areas and popularity of the car will vary. I know I average a sighting about 1 per week, with about 5 that I see often enough to know they aren't new to me.

in finding stats I also found this article...https://www.autoblog.com/2019/06/05/2019-buick-regal-tourx-sales/

 

[LLninja]

interesting to keep it. My husband suggested the same thing with mine so that it would be a classic someday.

as far as ratio's, I think it is far greater than 52 to 1.

2021				6	6	6							18
2020	401	401	401	274	274	274	134	134	134	20	20	20	2,484
2019	1,136	1,136	1,136	995	995	995	819	819	819	505	505	505	10,363
2018	568	2,318	822	1,502	1,502	1,503	931	931	931	1,037	1,037	1,037	14,118

total there are only just shy of 27,000 of them sold in the US. Factor in how many have been totaled...probably more like 20,000 by now. There is an estimated 275.9 million cars on the road today in the united states. That makes it a .00007249 odds or 1 in 1379.5. Obviously, density of areas and popularity of the car will vary. I know I average a sighting about 1 per week, with about 5 that I see often enough to know they aren't new to me.

in finding stats I also found this article...https://www.autoblog.com/2019/06/05/2019-buick-regal-tourx-sales/

1 in 1379.5 seems more like it. Plus what are the odds to two Sport Red ones? I think we are the only two TourXes in this town I have seen pics of a white one reported by an ex coworker in a town 18 miles away.

 

[saab93driver]

I know the production numbers say it shouldn't be but I've seen more TourXs driving on the road than Sportbacks of any trim. Arguably you could say the TourX is more distinct and stands out and is easier to notice but I think I'm pretty observant, even if I missed one here or there.

I see more online ads showing Sportbacks for sale - that does make sense. Of the cars for sale an informal observation is that more used Sportbacks around me have lower miles vs the TourXs - some very low so maybe that's why I don't see them running around. I bought my '20 Sportback a month ago with just 15,700 miles on it, there was another one for sale locally with just 11K miles and a model year older.

 

[Mikeric]

We were all going to an offsite meeting and I chose to ride with our chairperson (who is also an attorney and lives with her mother in a very nice part of town). We are a nonprofit and our Executive Director also drove our chair’s van. We went inside to wait and I met my chair’s mom. A very gracious older southern lady. When we went outside, our chairperson had to use the garage exit, since there were stairs from the front door. The garage door opens and there is the exact duplicate of my white 2018 Essence TourX. That was her mom’s car (I wasn’t bold enough to look at the odometer) which she wasn’t driving as much anymore do to her aging and skills. I told her I had the exact same car and we laughed. I told her there was a worldwide Facebook group devoted to this car and she smiled and said “that’s nice”. So someone is probably thinking, this is one of those barn in the countryside autos, found in perfect condition.

 

[2018 TourX in Texas]

I've seen in my 40,000 population East Texas town, in total 3 TourX.
Or is that TourXii ?
My first was a Dark Blue one, year unknown.
Im a wagon geek and I could tell it was Euro in origin, design wise.

(Already have a 2000 e320 Mercedes Wagon, so I'm totally sold on the concept of Station wagons.
Plus in my youth we grew up with 2:
'73 Toyota Corona Mark II wagon + '79 Buick Century Wagon)

Snapped pics of this Dark Blue TourX marched over to the GM Buick Dealer, where they denied the existence of the TourX - until I showed them the Pics then sales manager looked it up !

That was 2019 and led me to purchase this nice clean 2018 one in summer 2022.

I DID also spot a silver one while driving home from church 6 months back.

So assuming mine + silver + dark blue that makes 3 in Nacogdoches Texas.

PS: the Buick sales lot did have 2 Sportback models there that day I went looking.

Sales staff was oblivious that they were made in Germany - only once I showed them door tag were they aware.

 

[Wlepse]

Just saw a white TourX with a roof box headed south on 287 near rt23

 

[StelDriver]

Just saw a white TourX with a roof box headed south on 287 near rt23

Not me but I saw one about 2 weeks ago same color as mine (gray something) at the opposite light in Morris Plains. Got all excited then realized I was driving my other car so they wouldn't even see me, lol.

 

[Sael]

My wife passed a black TourX with Mass plates today on I-89 in Vermont, she was driving her black TourX With Vermont plates.

 

[TurtleTurtle]

Since I bought mine 3 months ago I found 2 right outside of Philly. There is one 2 blocks away, and another 10 minutes away.

 

[stembridge]

Shout out to the Sport Red TourX (with tricolor grille slats) we passed in our SPM TourX in Petersburg, KY yesterday! You're the first X we've seen in several years since we moved to a small town in Middle TN after retiring a few years ago.

 

[garbageguy]

Shout out to the Red TourX we saw in south-west NY state last weekend.. When we passed it slowly in our Blue TourX, no return wave that I could see - but the person in the Jeep waved - interesting!

I didn't realize, but the next morning got a pic that has the red TourX in it. Hello again!

 

[visitor]

Got passed by a black TourX yesterday while navigating this mess. Too busy monitoring stop & go traffic on I-81 to notice his approach, but they saw us as they crawled by.

 

[adam728]

Spring break road trip last week in the wife's SUV (loads more rear seat room than my car for 3 growing kids who can't stand the others being "in my space"). Anyway, Michigan down thru the Carolinas, Georgia, to Florida. Zero TourX's. Return trip had a stop in Nashville, so up thru Tennessee and Kentucky. 4 TourX's.

 

[stembridge]

Spring break road trip last week in the wife's SUV (loads more rear seat room than my car for 3 growing kids who can't stand the others being "in my space"). Anyway, Michigan down thru the Carolinas, Georgia, to Florida. Zero TourX's. Return trip had a stop in Nashville, so up thru Tennessee and Kentucky. 4 TourX's.

One of those in TN or KY might have been us on the way home!

 

[adam728]

One of those in TN or KY might have been us on the way home!

1 white, 1 black, 2 charcoal. I don't recall which/where though!